2012 forecast for the development of ceramics enterprises

A movie named "2012" has caused a great uproar as early as 2012, and was later used by many people in the industry to predict the 2012 ceramics industry. Now, when the ceramic industry really entered the year 2012 steadily, and in the more than three months of the opening of the entire industry appears quiet, it is rather worrying. When the author met with many people in the industry, he heard everyone say: The industry seems to be particularly quiet? The author listened, he was a bit puzzled, it seems that everyone is worried. Under the smooth surface, is it really hidden in the dark tide? We may wish to look at energy conservation and environmental protection.

Energy-saving and environmental protection policies are high-pressure, and nitrogen oxides have become a bottleneck for environmental protection. At the end of last year, a PM2.5 test had already caused some people with keen sense of smell in the industry to be uneasy. However, some people are calm, as always: When the industry situation is so unsatisfactory, perhaps the government is forced by the growth of GDP, especially the local government, it should not be exhausted. With a hint of optimism, we continue to respond to the pressure of environmental protection in the industry.

However, the longevity is not long, and the newly revised “Ambient Air Quality Standards” explicitly adds “PM2.5” monitoring indicators. The Wenzhou government’s work report on the opening ceremony of the recent opening ceremony also emphasized that China will carry out fine particulate matter (PM2.5) projects in key regions such as the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta, as well as municipalities and provincial capitals this year. Monitoring, covering all cities above prefecture level in 2015. If before the PM2.5 only as a private and major media vocabulary is not enough to worry about, but the introduction of the new "environmental air quality standards" and the reports of government officials, let the word really take the environmental protection The official stage.

Coincidentally: Guangdong's recently introduced "Guangdong "Twelfth Five-Year" comprehensive energy-saving emission reduction work plan" clearly stipulated that the goal of energy-saving emission reduction accountability, in other words, how energy-saving emission reduction is done, directly related to The performance of government departments and related cadres. If people in the industry were still lucky that the pressure on energy conservation and environmental protection had been met earlier, then Guangdong has recently included energy conservation and environmental protection into specific data assessments and implemented an accountability system. All of the people's hearts will be cleared away.

A strong policy was forced and the industry was in an uproar. According to the plan, by 2015, energy consumption per unit of GDP in the province will drop to 0.477 tons of standard coal per ten thousand yuan (calculated at 2010 prices), which is a decrease of 18% and 31.46% from 2010 and 2005, respectively; chemical oxygen demand Total emissions of CO2 and CO2 were respectively controlled at 1.701 million tons and 715 thousand tons, down by 12.0% and 14.8% from 2010 respectively; total ammonia nitrogen and nitrogen oxide emissions were controlled at 203,900 tons and 1,099,000 tons, respectively. The year-on-year declines were 13.3% and 16.9% respectively. All corporate bosses have started to worry, and the handling of chemicals has not been a problem, but the treatment of nitrogen oxides is a technical bottleneck. Until now, there has been no detection of nitrides in the industry, let alone treatment. Until now, there has been no breakthrough in this technology in the industry.

For this reason, there are also many business owners who say that if there is a stipulation on the nitrogen oxides produced in the building of ceramics, the validity of this provision is questionable. If no company can meet this standard, then the feasibility of the standard itself becomes a problem. In any case, the treatment of nitrogen oxides will become a technical bottleneck for Chinese ceramics companies in energy conservation and environmental protection in 2012 or the next few years.

The standard for thin bricks will be established within the next two years. Non-thin bricks will face pressure. Since thin bricks have been produced for many years, they have been popularized for several years. However, according to some companies in the industry who report on producing thin bricks, thin bricks are still not effective in marketing. . According to the author's knowledge, not only have the bosses repeatedly urged the government to issue relevant standards and supportive policies, but many industry experts have also disagreed: Since the state has repeatedly emphasized energy conservation and emission reduction, the lack of relevant standards for thin bricks is always a problem. However, with the stringent tightening of the national energy conservation and environmental protection policy, thin bricks will eventually become the object of policy support, and thick bricks will undoubtedly face “high energy consumption” pressure.

At a forum on the analysis of the situation of the Chinese building sanitary ceramics industry co-sponsored by the China Building Materials Federation, the China Building Sanitary Ceramics Association and the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade recently, Qiao Longde, the new president of the China Federation of Building Materials, pointed out that: To launch it vigorously, it is necessary to limit the thick brick! At the same time, Ye Xiangyang, vice president of the China Building Materials Federation, also stated that the standard for ceramic thin bricks will be formulated within the next two years. In ceramic thin bricks, wall tiles will be released within this year, and tiles will be issued next year.

It can be seen that the world of thin bricks will be truly laid in the next few years, and at the same time, companies that manufacture thick bricks must fully consider the development prospects when setting goals.

Changes in the situation are not bad, and the depth of the flow of water is still a matter of course, the market trend of the industry is already confusing, and there are also policies from time to time to jump out of intervention. However, the author believes that if ever there is no change, he will pay close attention to energy conservation and environmental protection.