The price of iron ore in the fourth quarter that has been sizzled seems to have finally settled. A senior steel mill in Central China revealed that the mill has recently received quotations from Rio Tinto, BHP Billiton and Vale. On the 8th, Japanese media said that Australian mining giant Rio Tinto had reached an agreement with Japanese steel companies to agree to cut iron ore prices by about 10% to 13% in the fourth quarter. On the 9th, domestic steel mills confirmed that they had received the price of Rio Tinto's opening in October. The price of 62-grade PB powder was also US$127/ton, which was the same as that received by Japanese steel mills. This is the first price cut under the leading price of the three major mines since the implementation of the quarterly pricing. Zinc Selenide Plano-concave Lenses
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Zhou Lang analysis of Lange Steel Information Research Center believes that the output of China's iron ore raw ore in 2010 is expected to be around 950 million tons. With the impact of limited electricity production, China only needs to import 507 million tons of iron ore to meet the balance of supply and demand; From January to July, China has imported 360 million tons of iron ore. In the remaining five months, China only needs to import 147 million tons of iron ore to meet the balance between supply and demand.
The sharp drop in demand for iron ore has caused the price of spot imported iron ore to fall from $155/ton to $147/ton today, a drop of more than 5% in just a week or so.
Analysts believe that both the iron ore agreement price and the spot price will lower the cost line of the steel mill. Considering that the soaring steel price after the production limit is not fully accepted by downstream customers, it is difficult for the steel price to maintain its upward trend in the future. Industry insiders estimate that iron ore prices in the fourth quarter fell by about 10% from the third quarter.
Xu Xiangchun, director of consulting for “My Steelâ€, said that the fall in ore prices would be good for stabilizing the high cost of steel mills in the early period. However, if the spot price has a downward trend, it remains to be seen whether the above agreement price can be recognized by the market.
This also means that if the spot price of iron ore in the later period is continuously lower due to the demand, the situation that the price of the spot mine and the agreement mine in the third quarter may be reversed may reappear in the fourth quarter.
Xu Xiangchun said that from the current situation, due to the reduction in supply, the high steel inventory may be eased in the fourth quarter, which will drive the rise in steel prices and raw material prices, which is beneficial to steel mills and the loss in the previous period. The situation is expected to ease. However, it is necessary to be wary that the policy is short-lived. Once the policy of terminating production suspension is cancelled, the steel mills may have explosive recovery production, and the market will experience unstable fluctuations such as ups and downs.
On September 1st, at the “International Conference on Metals and Mining†jointly organized by Bloomberg and the domestic steel information agency, Steel House website, Wu Zong, general manager of “Steel House†network, said that China’s crude steel output in 2010 It reached 630 million tons, an increase of 10.9% year-on-year, and an apparent consumption of 610 million tons, an increase of 7.8% year-on-year. The annual steel price will remain low and fluctuate. The annual iron ore import volume is about 650 million tons. From 2013, iron ore. The relationship between stone supply and demand will be reversed.
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Iron ore prices may fall by 10%, and it is difficult to maintain the future
Abstract The price of iron ore in the fourth quarter, which has been sizzling, seems to have finally settled. A senior steel mill in Central China revealed that the mill has recently received quotations from Rio Tinto, BHP Billiton and Vale. On the 8th, Japanese media said that the Australian mining giant...