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Steel price rise drives coke
Baosteel recently took the lead in proposing a comprehensive price increase for the main plate varieties in January 2011, ranging from 150-300 yuan/ton. Subsequently, domestic large and medium-sized iron and steel enterprises such as Hegang and Angang have introduced price policies in January next year, and most of the products are mainly based on rising. According to analysts, the current steel market inventory is at a low level, the production cost is rigidly supported, and the funds at the beginning of the year are relatively loose. It is expected that the steel market will continue to rise.
The price increase of steel mills provides space for the coke market to go up. At the end of the third quarter of this year, domestic coke prices rebounded and began to rise steadily in November. At present, the mainstream ex-factory price of secondary metallurgical coke in Shanxi is 1700-1780 yuan/ton, the price of first-grade metallurgical coke board is 1580-1900 yuan/ton; the price of secondary metallurgical coke in Hebei area is 1850 yuan. / ton or so, quasi-first-class metallurgical coke to the factory tax price of 1880-2000 yuan / ton; while the price of coke in the northeast region is driven by cost, the current price of secondary metallurgical coke is about 1850-1900 yuan / ton, The first-grade metallurgical coke is 2050 yuan/ton.
Despite the rebound in prices, the profitability of coke companies is still grim. It is understood that large-scale independent coking enterprises have better economic benefits and can also produce coke at full load; while coking enterprises affiliated to steel mills are guaranteed by demand, and rarely limit production or reduce production. The most pessimistic situation is the majority of small and medium coking enterprises in China. The Hebei Coking Industry Association recently held a market analysis meeting in December, in order to change the passive situation of long-term losses in the whole industry, continue to maintain an appropriate limit of production, and appropriately adjust the sales price according to the operating conditions of the enterprise.
Coking coal price erosion profit
Recently, coal enterprises in Northeast China, Shanxi, Hebei and other places have raised the price of coking coal in January next year. Among them, Shanxi Coking Coal Group determined that coking coal will increase by 100-150 yuan / ton, which indicates that domestic coking coal prices will show a "high opening" pattern next year. Analysts said that coking coal prices are about to rise in 2011, and the expected increase is above 10%.
According to Wang Ling, an analyst with United Metals, the performance of the recent coke market is significantly weaker than the upstream and downstream. The prices of coking coal in major coking coal producing areas such as Shanxi, Northeast, Hebei and Central South have been raised sharply in the near future, ranging from 90-150 yuan/ton. However, as its direct downstream coke price, it was only raised by RMB 50/ton based on the settlement of last month.
What is more serious is that at present, steel mills are not eager to stock coke, which has forced coking enterprises to increase production limits. The coking enterprises in Shijiazhuang and Handan have limited production of more than 40%. Such a large limit of production has led to a corresponding reduction in coking by-products, resulting in an increase in the overall cost of tonne coke, which has once again caused the coking plant to fall into a loss cycle.
Although coke prices are expected to continue to rise before the holiday, the coke industry's position of survival has not changed, and the annual output of 440 million tons, and up to 40% of unreleased production capacity will become a stumbling block to the industry's profit recovery. However, due to the high price of upstream coking coal and the increase in coke production costs, it is still very difficult for enterprises to turn losses into profits. (Reporter Li Yangdan)
Steel market recovery coke price increase
Recently, the steel market has gradually recovered, and major steel mills such as Baosteel have raised the price of steel to provide space for coke enterprises to raise prices. At the same time, the price of coking coal has also been raised at the end of the year. The industry expects that the coking coal price will continue to rise in the next year, and the increase in cost will also push domestic coke prices higher. However, the oversupply situation in the coke industry has not fundamentally improved. At present, most small and medium-sized coke enterprises still rely on chemical products to make up losses, and up to 40% of the limited production shows that corporate profit pressure still exists.