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On January 23, the National Energy Administration issued the “Biodiesel Industry Development Policyâ€, which has made corresponding regulations on raw materials, process and technology, and production supply, and incorporated qualified biodiesel into refined oil sales. The system has opened up new sales channels for domestic biodiesel, but this policy is only a written guideline, and so far, the policy has not been officially implemented, which means that the domestic biodiesel market at this stage does not With the support of the national policy, the domestic biodiesel market is still showing signs of fatigue.
Poor demand
Since 2015, the domestic diesel market demand has continued to be weak, and during the Spring Festival, the infrastructure and mining industry in various regions have reduced outdoor operations, resulting in a significant contraction of domestic diesel consumption, slow digestion of social unit inventory, and a weak intention to buy middle and lower reaches. Affected by this, the operating rate of domestic biodiesel enterprises continued to be low, and the downstream enterprises had a strong bearish sentiment, which stopped or reduced the purchase of biodiesel, which caused the shipment of biodiesel manufacturers to stagnate, the inventory continued to increase, and the price had to be lowered. To increase sales.
Substitute price advantage
According to the data, as of April 24, the average price of domestic non-standard diesel is 4136 yuan / ton, the average domestic diesel price is 4335 yuan / ton, the average price is lower than the biodiesel 4350 yuan / ton, and the Spring Festival Before and after, the domestic temperature is low, and the problem of higher biodiesel condensation point is highlighted. Due to cost and performance considerations, gasoline and diesel traders have significantly reduced the amount of biodiesel purchases, and biodiesel manufacturers are more difficult to ship, in order to ensure continued shipments. The shipping price is lowered, and some manufacturers choose to stop working to ease the shipping pressure.
Market outlook: Recently, the international crude oil futures price fluctuated higher, the crude oil change rate was widened in the positive range, and the domestic refined oil price was raised as scheduled. In addition, with the gradual recovery of the weather, the infrastructure industry, industrial and mining starts will gradually increase, and the domestic diesel market demand Will gradually pick up, or will drive the domestic biodiesel market to improve, the number of downstream users entering the market to purchase biodiesel will increase, domestic biodiesel companies will increase shipments, market prices may show an upward trend, but according to biodiesel network observation, Even if it rises, it is a small adjustment.
The domestic biodiesel market is facing a downturn in cost and demand
Insufficient implementation of the policy