The initial pattern of the "Five Foundations and Two Belts" of energy

Several drafts have been made, and the basic ideas for the “13th Five-Year Plan” for energy development have been shaped. Recently, at the China Energy Summit held by the China Energy Society, a reporter from the "Economic Information Daily" learned from the relevant personnel of the National Energy Administration that during the "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan" period, China will basically form a "Five Bases and Two Links" energy development layout. Compared with the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”, new offshore development zones including the Bohai Sea, East China Sea, and northern South China Sea have been added, and at the same time, the growth rate of renewable energy has increased significantly. Among them, the target for wind power is twice the target of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”. Solar power generation is five times the target of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”, and the development of the central nuclear power project, which has received much attention, will be released.

In addition, it is worth noting that, compared with previous plans, the “13th Five-Year Plan” will pay more attention to overall convergence, operability and implementation. Provincial energy planning needs to be submitted to the National Energy Administration for approval. Regional energy planning involving national distribution, total volume control, and inter-provincial transfer must also be reported to the National Energy Administration for approval.

According to the national energy strategy of continuous supply, adequate quantity, reasonable price, and clean quality, the “13th Five-Year Plan” energy plan proposes that by 2020, China will basically form a “5 bases and 2 bands” energy development layout, focusing on the construction of Shanxi, Ordos Basin, The five key energy bases in Mengdong, Southwest, and Xinjiang, and the eastern nuclear power zone and offshore oil and gas development zone.

“Mainly the new offshore oil and gas development zone, China will gradually increase the development of oil and gas resources. There must be certain oil and gas production in the Bohai Sea, East China Sea, and the northern part of the South China Sea. In the five major energy bases on land, Xinjiang is not large-scale. Development, but the optimization of the development structure.” The above-mentioned Energy Bureau sources said that with this layout will form a "four horizontal and three vertical" energy transmission channel, "focus on the construction of the West-East Gas Pipeline three or four line, at the same time start five lines There is also a coal-to-gas special line. In terms of power access, 12 are currently approved, but considering security and other issues, Sanhua will not approve it."

During the “13th Five-Year Plan” period, total energy consumption control is the primary task, and the key lies in coal. According to reports, China’s total energy consumption in 2020 may reach 4.8 billion tons, which is basically in line with the 4.8 billion to 4.9 billion tons that are widely speculated. During the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan” period, coal will be intensively developed on the basis of 14 large-scale coal bases. At the same time, the development of the eight major oil production bases and the development of nine major natural gas production bases will continue to be promoted, oil and gas supply will be increased to replace coal, and natural gas supply will be provided by 2020. It reached 400 billion cubic meters.

Different from the "expected" steady growth of coal, oil and gas and other energy sources, the plan describes the development of renewable energy as "strengthening development." The preliminary goal is to set the scale of domestic wind power development to reach 200 million kilowatts in 2020. "The goal is double, and solar power will reach 100 million kilowatts, which is five times the target of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan."

According to the existing thinking of the “13th Five-Year Plan” of energy, wind power is mainly based on large-scale bases. By 2020, the total planning target of Mengdong, Mengxi, Gansu, Xinjiang, Jilin, Heilongjiang and other large-scale wind power bases will reach 87 million. Kilowatts, accounting for about 43% of the country's total. The development of photovoltaics is focused on the construction of ground power stations in the western region and the development of distributed power stations in the east.

“The development of wind power PV during the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan” has a lot of pressure, which is the demand for economics. If it continues to be the current level of renewable energy subsidies, there will be a gap, so the future will have a total limit on subsidies for renewable energy. , to force the price level down." The above energy sources said.

In contrast, the growth rate of hydropower and nuclear power is not so fast. The hydropower planning target may be reduced from 350 million kilowatts, which was previously generally estimated, to 340 million kilowatts, a slight decrease. The "13th Five-Year Plan" nuclear power construction plan target may be set at 53 million kilowatts.

According to the national layout, during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, only a few well-argued nuclear power project sites were arranged in the coastal areas, and no inland nuclear power projects were arranged. This put stranding of nuclear power planning in many provinces. Regarding the development of inland nuclear power that has received much attention, the above-mentioned sources from the National Energy Administration stated that during the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan” period, the eastern coast is mainly developed, and “the Central China will appropriately develop one or two.” This is for the stranded Xianning Nuclear Power Plant and the Taohuajiang Nuclear Power Plant. And Peng Ze nuclear power will undoubtedly bring new hope.